PPC Predictions - 2007 Arnold

With the introduction of the PPC element in the final 2006 rankings, this year we're going to try to play statistical Nostradomus with the upcoming IFBB competitions. For the first event, we'll be relying solely on 2006 results (with the exception of Debbie Czempinski, who didn't compete in last year), giving you a rundown on who the statistics think will win.

For those of you unfamiliar with the PPC term, it stands for Points per Contest, and is the average points a competitor earned in their appearance on stage. The points themselves are broken down as 12/10/8/6/4 for places 1 through 5, 2pts for places 6-10, and 1pt for everyone else. The Arnold and Olympia are weighted higher due to their extra significance, with a 15/13/11/9/7 breakdown for 1-5, 5pts for 6-10 and 3pts for everyone else.

With that being said, here's what the stats say for the 2007 Ms. Figure International (highest PPC first, number is parenthesis is final score ranking for last year)..

Mary Lado - PPC 11 (18)
Amanda Savell - PPC 9.3 (9)
Chastity Slone - PPC 8 (15)
Sonia Adcock - PPC 8 (31)
Valerie Waugaman - PPC 7.5 (8)
Gina Aliotti - PPC 7 (4)
Julie Wallis - PPC 7 (19)
Latisha Wilder - PPC 6.4 (6)
Inga Neverauskaite - PPC 6.2 (7)
Jane Awad - PPC 5.3 (t21)
Deb Leung - PPC 3.5 (24)
Zhanna Rotar - PPC 2.6 (t21)
Christine Wan - PPC 2.6 (t21)
Zena Collins - PPC 2.5 (27)

Unknowns:
Corry Mathews
Briana Tindell

Well the stats don't lie, the numbers like Mary Lado to win it, and alot of other people seem to be thinking the same way. Chastity Slone, Sonia Adcock and Julie (DJ) Wallis have high PPC numbers, but limited overall competition appearances last year, which can be seen by their score ranking. It remains to be seen if those numbers can hold up against a formidible line-up like this.

And for Ms. Fitness International, the robots like..

Adela Garcia - PPC 15 (4)
Kimberly Klein - PPC 13 (7)
Jennifer Hendershott - PPC 11 (9)
Tanji Johnson - PPC 9.5 (3)
Julie Palmer - PPC 8.4 (t1)
Julie Shipley-Childs - PPC 8 (8)
Heidi Fletcher - PPC 6.5 (12)
Angela Monteleone-Semsch - PPC 6 (t1)
Mindi O’Brien - PPC 6 (t4)
Debra Czempinski - PPC 6 (2005)
Tracey Greenwood - PPC 5.6 (13)
Amy Haddad - PPC 5.25 (10)
Bethany Gainey - PPC 3 (18)
Hollie Stewart - PPC 2 (29)

Unknown: Amy Villa-Nelson

It's hard to argue with this top pick as well. Adela only competed in two competitions last year, the Arnold and the Olympia, and won both of them, resulting in the highest possible PPC of 15. Her limited resume cost her a chance at the final number 1 ranking, however, with the consistent top placings of Julie Palmer sealing the deal.

We'll see how close these numbers pan out in a couple weeks. Once the results are in, it will be interesting to see how close these statistical predictions come to the real thing.